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Foreign exchange
What drove the Taiwan dollar surge?
Foreign speculators, carry unwinds and central bank inaction fuelled the 10% move, not just life insurers, say traders
Hedge funds burned as Hong Kong dollar bets implode
Carry trades and call spreads unwound after Trump tariffs pushed spot to edge of currency peg
European investors ramp up FX hedging as ‘dollar smile’ fades
Analysts at one bank expect average hedge ratios to jump from 39% to 70% within six months
Trump tariffs sent FX options traders on a wild ride
As US assets sold off, dealers found themselves on the front lines of a hedging scramble
Risk Quantum
Data insights, delivered daily
Risk Quantum tracks thousands of data points across hundreds of metrics from organisations that represent a cross-section of the financial system. Published daily, articles are short and broken into chunks – the facts, the context and a brief commentary – and use data visualisations to get each story across.
Basel III prompts Scandi banks to redraw credit risk
Danske, Handelsbanken and Nykredit scale back A-IRB under new rules
Counterparty Radar
Matchmaking and benchmarking for OTC derivatives
Counterparty Radar is based on position data from around 20,000 US mutual funds and ETFs, rolled up to the manager level – it shows the OTC derivatives they have on their books, and who they traded them with, providing unique insights into an important market segment. More info
Wells Fargo’s FX strategy wins over buy-side clients
Counterparty Radar: Life insurers looked west for liquidity after November’s US presidential election
Fixed income
After tariff rout, hedge funds revive euro rate steepeners
Dutch pension overhaul drives bets on euro rates curve steepening
Dodging a steamroller: how the basis trade survived the tariff tantrum
Higher margins, rising yields and stable repo funding helped avert another disruptive blow-up
Yen rates losses from tariff volatility top $1 billion
Pay fixed, curve flattener and vol steepener positions were hit hard as yields swung wildly
Inside the week that shook the US Treasury market
Rates traders on the “scary” moves that almost broke the world’s safest and most liquid investment
Regulation
US Basel equivalence questioned as EU patience wears thin
MEPs say unfaithful US implementation of Basel III could trigger review of access to EU markets
BoE plans to link system-wide and individual stress tests
Meanwhile, ECB wants to broaden system-wide stress models to include central counterparties
Repo clearing rule could raise SOFR volatility – OFR analysts
Analysis of 2022 data finds large divergence in tail rates but no change in median
CFTC takes red pen to swaps rules, but don’t call it a rollback
Lawyers and ex-regs say agency is fine-tuning and clarifying regulations, not eliminating them
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